Allspring's Exclusive Quarterly Update for Wells Fargo Advisors

Q3 2024
Hear from the experts and boost your portfolio

Stay up to date with the Portfolio Management teams for the Managed DSIP SMAs and other Equity Income strategies at Allspring.

Transcript

Bryan Piskorowski: Good morning, good afternoon, or good evening. Hello, my name is Bryan Piskorowski. I'm the head of Advice and Investment Guidance at Allspring Global Investments. We're very excited to try a new format for our quarterly update for the Rising Dividend Team, otherwise known as DSIP, Current Equity Income, Global Dividend Payers, and such. This quarter, we're going to be giving you these vignettes where you can access them at your leisure to be able to take a look at what's going on in our portfolios. As you may know, Allspring is a key partner for Wells Fargo Advisors. From that point, we have over 50 recommended strategies, both in mutual funds and separately managed accounts from global manager research. And we want to be able to bring these strategies and new ones, including our new tax management portfolios, available for your clients as we move forward. Should you have any questions on any of these strategies, please give our desk a call at 1-866-701-2575. And with that, we'll pass it on to the teams. Thanks and have a great day.

Transcript

Jim Argabright: Well, it turns out there are more than just seven stocks in the market. The Mag 7 was weaker in the third quarter, up just about 2%, while a broader basket of stocks showed great participation as the equal weight S&P 500 was up just under 10%. Our diversified portfolios of dividend growers benefited from, in our opinion, this long overdue increase in both market breadth and rotation and leadership. The Managed DSIP suite strongly outperformed the S&P 500 in the third quarter. Managed DSIP1 returned 9.7% for the quarter, compared with 5.9% for the S&P 500. Year to date, the Managed DSIP suite is now up in excess of 13.5% as of the end of the third quarter. Importantly, Managed DSIP1 had seven dividend increases in the quarter at 7.5%. For the year, we've now got 36 increases at 6.7%. Only one company passed. That was Norfolk Southern. I'll come back to them in a little bit. In terms of the core, both sector allocations and stock selection drove the outperformance. The underweight allocations to both communication services and information technology was a benefit. The portfolio outperformed the benchmark peers in 7 of 11 sectors, led by our consumer discretionary holdings. One name I want to highlight is Lowe's, the major home improvement retailer. It's been sort of an up and down year for the shares this year, which we would attribute a lot to the uncertainty surrounding the direction of the U.S. economic growth. That said, still low unemployment, interest rate cuts, and real wage growth provide a strong backdrop to what has been a very long and weak housing market. We had several trades within the quarter. We increased our positions in Broadcom and Nike, added a new position in Carlisle, and sold our remaining position in Norfolk Southern. Broadcom is a semiconductor name. The name has a moderate dividend payout, averaging about 40% or so free cash flow, stemming from industry leading profit and free cash flow margins. It's a leading position also in the design of custom semiconductors for AI with applications for customers like Alphabet and Meta. The company actually expects AI related revenues to double this year and account for about 20% of its total sales. It’s grown its dividend around 15% per year over the past three years. New position for us in Carlisle companies. They're a leading manufacturer of roofing and weatherproofing products and systems. There's a number of factors we think support dividend growth in the future for this company. It transitioned over the last couple of years from a somewhat disjointed and diverse industrials company to really more just focusing on those core building products systems. They've improved both their margins and their ROIC. The roofing industry itself has also become more consolidated. So, that's a benefit as there's been greater focus on margin improvement and disciplined pricing. Finally, and very importantly, on the capital allocation program that management has been successful in implementing, it's resulted in one, a low dividend payout that's about 25% of their EPS, effective share repurchase program, and then strategically sound acquisitions. And finally, the last trade that we had was we sold our remaining position in Norfolk Southern Company. The company has really struggled with a number of issues that continue to impact it. One, the 2023 train derailment is still an issue. It has very poor customer service metrics. It has sluggish demand and industry low profit margins. So, we did make the decision to exit the rest of that position. If I turn quickly to an outlook, we would expect some near-term choppiness for the rest of the year. But if third quarter earnings, which are just beginning, are solid, we think that will support the market and it will drift higher. Our view that the Fed (Federal Reserve) will be cautious in easing interest rates has not changed. And finally, on a company level, we continue to monitor the upcoming amount of debt that is due in both 2025 and 2026 and extremely focused on balance sheet strength of the companies that we own.

Transcript

Chelsey Barta: Around the globe, interest rate changes have been a major performance driver. In the third quarter, European Central Bank held rates steady after cutting by 25 basis points in June. The U.S. Fed (Federal Reserve) cut rates by 50 basis points. Bank of Japan raised their rates while announcing plans to end their bond buying program, causing volatility in the yen and the equity markets. The U.S. dollar weakened over 3.5% during the quarter. We saw defense-related stocks volatility due to changing dynamics around the ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, along with increasing budget pressures facing major countries. We saw volatility in French and Japanese markets. And the other big news at the end of the quarter. China announced a stimulus package in September, which boosted Chinese and EAFE stocks with high exposure to China. From a portfolio perspective, the Global Dividend Payers Strategy returned 9% for the quarter, underperforming its benchmark MSCI World High Dividend Yield Index (return at 10.2%) while both outperformed the broad global developed market, MSCI World Index (6.4% return) and S&P 500 (5.9% return), as well. For the 1-year period, the GDP portfolio has returned 25.4%, roughly 280 basis points ahead of its benchmark. Underperformance in quarter 3 was due in part to negative stock selection in the infotech and financial sectors, somewhat offset by the positive stock selection in the energy and consumer discretionary sectors. On a geographic basis, U.S. stock selection was weakest with positive contribution from stocks domiciled in Canada and Germany. The International Dividend Payers, or IDSIP, portfolio returned 7% in the third quarter, slightly underperforming its benchmark, MSCI EAFE. Underperformance was primarily due to our overweight allocation in energy and underweight in financials and selection was essentially neutral. On a geographic basis, benefit from stock selection in the Netherlands, Germany, and the UK offset some negative stock selection in Japan and our underweight to Asia ex-Japan and Australia. Strong performance in both portfolios came from TC Energy, a Canadian energy company with significant natural gas pipelines in both the U.S. and Canada. This is a high yielding stock that we believe will benefit from continuing demand for natural gas infrastructure. Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, a diversified financial services company in Japan, detracted from performance in both portfolios. It was up 40% in the first half of 2024, then the stock came back down almost 6% in the third quarter, underperforming both Japan and EAFE, along with other Japanese financial companies. That said, we think the underlying fundamentals of the company remain strong and we expect profitability to continue to improve. In the quarter, the team had several trades. A few to highlight—after a French stock selloff in June due to political uncertainty, we took our opportunity to add exposure, including a new position in L'Oreal in our GDP portfolio and added to our existing position in IDSIP. We added a new position in IDSIP to Germany-based semiconductor name, Infineon Technologies. We trimmed our position in Japanese stock, Seven & I, in both portfolios after a move up in price following news of a potential takeover bid by competitor, Circle K. So, as we look to quarter 4, we see opportunity to capitalize on currency volatility and potential shifts in central bank actions. We believe our portfolios remain well positioned and that high-quality global companies like those that we emphasize should play an important role in investors’ portfolios.

Transcript

Margie Patel: In Diversified Capital Builder, we use a top-down approach in selecting investments. We look at industries that we think have characteristics to grow faster than the economy. Then, we look for companies in those industries that we think have a special expertise that will allow them to outperform and concentrate there. The industry weightings are not tied to any index weightings. We weight the industries according to where we see relative value. But this approach does not result in a high turnover rate, although we gradually change the sectors that we’re exposed to. For the 12 months ended December 2023, our turnover rate was 50%. And for the 12 months ended September 30, 2024, it was 30%. We have positioned the fund for our positive outlook for the economy, which we think will grow between 1.5% and 2.5%, allowing Standard and Poor's revenues to increase about 4% and corporate profits to increase about 8% to 10%, which we think is sufficient to allow the market to continue to advance over the balance of the year. We continue to focus on stocks in those industries, which we think are growing in a secular fashion and have the ability to continue to grow faster than the economy overall. Those would include industrials, technology, and materials, which we think have those characteristics. Right now, our largest sector is technology. We continue to feel there are growth characteristics from artificial intelligence, automation, communications, aerospace, and defense. Our largest holdings are Broadcom, Advanced Micro Devices, Nvidia, and Microsoft. Industrials our second largest sector. We feel the sector has long-term growth characteristics from reshoring, increased capital expenditures, expanding and strengthening the electrical grid, and also communications, aerospace, and defense. Our largest holdings are Emerson Electric, Leidos, Curtiss-Wright, and Timken. This year, we've expanded our holdings in the energy sector, our third largest sector, particularly in gas-related companies who will benefit from increasing use of gas as a source for baseload electric power consumption in the electrical grid and also for increasing demand from LNG for exports. Our largest holdings are Taga Resources, Oneok, Cheniere, and Schlumberger. About 85% of our holdings currently are in equities and about 15% in high yield bonds rated BB of U.S. domestic companies. We continue to feel that returns from the equity market will outperform that of fixed income, so, therefore, we're at the rather high end of our equity weighting. But we do think the bonds have a very strategic value with yields between 5.5% and 6.5% and low volatility. We feel that they give us the flexibility on the equity side to invest in stocks that may have a low dividend and high potential for total return, so the income earned from bonds will supplement the total dividend power of the fund. And right now, we have about 10% of our holdings where we have both the bonds and the stock of the same company.